Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.036145 0.039318 0.042506 0.045944 0.049541 0.053186 0.057154
2025-12-14 0.030907 0.035606 0.040479 0.045888 0.051699 0.057736 0.064460
2025-12-21 0.027700 0.033562 0.039810 0.046912 0.054709 0.062962 0.072315
2025-12-28 0.023970 0.030551 0.037754 0.046128 0.055506 0.065604 0.077219
2026-01-04 0.021508 0.028699 0.036761 0.046318 0.057200 0.069080 0.082912
2026-01-11 0.019725 0.027451 0.036300 0.046970 0.059293 0.072905 0.088911
2026-01-18 0.018173 0.026334 0.035872 0.047556 0.061224 0.076479 0.094572
2026-01-25 0.015655 0.023857 0.033683 0.045947 0.060509 0.076954 0.096653
2026-02-01 0.013991 0.022317 0.032515 0.045452 0.061008 0.078750 0.100175
2026-02-08 0.012654 0.021099 0.031661 0.045263 0.061808 0.080845 0.103998
2026-02-15 0.012119 0.020891 0.032035 0.046545 0.064339 0.084943 0.110126
2026-02-22 0.011506 0.020532 0.032183 0.047518 0.066480 0.088569 0.115700
2026-03-01 0.010745 0.019942 0.032028 0.048130 0.068214 0.091766 0.120844
2026-03-08 0.009845 0.019098 0.031501 0.048242 0.069323 0.094214 0.125113
2026-03-15 0.009402 0.018882 0.031785 0.049374 0.071677 0.098149 0.131139
2026-03-22 0.008313 0.017634 0.030624 0.048600 0.071635 0.099182 0.133714
2026-03-29 0.007653 0.016985 0.030244 0.048811 0.072798 0.101654 0.137987
2026-04-05 0.007199 0.016622 0.030235 0.049490 0.074537 0.104813 0.143075
2026-04-12 0.006757 0.016246 0.030185 0.050098 0.076174 0.107842 0.148006
2026-04-19 0.005692 0.014756 0.028482 0.048439 0.074879 0.107250 0.148553
2026-04-26 0.005039 0.013903 0.027656 0.047929 0.075030 0.108412 0.151201
2026-05-03 0.004522 0.013240 0.027079 0.047734 0.075568 0.110041 0.154405
2026-05-10 0.004410 0.013309 0.027598 0.049057 0.078087 0.114136 0.160619